Analysis Lab: GFS
Member since December 2025
📊 Synoptic Summary
"You're forecasting safely. Time to take a few calculated risks to lower that error. You're a bit 'jumpy' on the rain chances. Remember: climatology is your friend."
Overall Rankings
Short Game
Long Game
Latest Game
7-Day
30-Day
Season
#5 of 15
#7 of 15
#9 of 15
#7 of 15
Latest Game
7-Day
30-Day
Season
#12 of 13
#10 of 13
#10 of 13
#9 of 13
Bottom 5 Performing Cities
Historical Audit Log
Date
City
Forecast (Mx/Mn/P)
Observed (Mx/Mn/P)
Error (Mx / Mn)
Brier
2026-06-02
Charleston
75 / 50 / 0%
78 / 50 / 0.00"
3 / 0
0
2026-06-02
Charlotte
68 / 54 / 100%
72 / 58 / 0.10"
4 / 4
0
2026-06-02
St Louis
78 / 63 / 0%
80 / 64 / 0.00"
2 / 1
0
2026-06-02
San Diego
67 / 62 / 0%
70 / 61 / 0.00"
3 / 1
0
2026-06-02
Philidelphia
76 / 50 / 0%
80 / 53 / 0.00"
4 / 3
0
2026-06-02
Phoenix
102 / 83 / 0%
104 / 79 / 0.00"
2 / 4
0
2026-06-02
Houston
94 / 74 / 100%
92 / 73 / 0.10"
2 / 1
0
2026-06-01
Washington
77 / 55 / 0%
80 / 60 / 0.00"
3 / 5
0
2026-06-01
San Francisco
73 / 52 / 0%
71 / 53 / 0.00"
2 / 1
0
2026-06-01
San Jose
88 / 54 / 0%
84 / 57 / 0.00"
4 / 3
0
2026-06-01
Dallas
98 / 78 / 0%
94 / 75 / 0.00"
4 / 3
0
2026-06-01
San Antonio
93 / 72 / 0%
90 / 72 / 0.00"
3 / 0
0
2026-06-01
Philidelphia
75 / 56 / 0%
80 / 57 / 0.00"
5 / 1
0
2026-06-01
Los Angeles
71 / 62 / 0%
72 / 61 / 0.00"
1 / 1
0
2026-05-31
Washington
74 / 48 / 0%
76 / 53 / 0.00"
2 / 5
0
2026-05-31
San Francisco
72 / 48 / 0%
72 / 51 / 0.00"
0 / 3
0
2026-05-31
San Jose
83 / 49 / 0%
81 / 50 / 0.00"
2 / 1
0
2026-05-31
Dallas
96 / 76 / 0%
95 / 75 / 0.00"
1 / 1
0
2026-05-31
San Antonio
93 / 70 / 0%
87 / 71 / 0.00"
6 / 1
0
2026-05-31
Philidelphia
73 / 48 / 0%
78 / 52 / 0.00"
5 / 4
0
2026-05-31
Los Angeles
72 / 61 / 0%
72 / 59 / 0.00"
0 / 2
0
2026-05-30
Washington
70 / 56 / 0%
73 / 61 / 0.00"
3 / 5
0
2026-05-30
San Francisco
64 / 49 / 0%
65 / 52 / 0.00"
1 / 3
0
2026-05-30
San Jose
77 / 48 / 0%
73 / 53 / 0.00"
4 / 5
0
2026-05-30
Dallas
95 / 77 / 0%
94 / 76 / 0.00"
1 / 1
0
2026-05-30
San Antonio
91 / 70 / 0%
85 / 73 / 0.00"
6 / 3
0
2026-05-30
Philidelphia
70 / 51 / 0%
71 / 54 / 0.00"
1 / 3
0
2026-05-30
Los Angeles
68 / 59 / 0%
71 / 60 / 0.00"
3 / 1
0
2026-05-29
Washington
78 / 52 / 0%
80 / 56 / 0.00"
2 / 4
0
2026-05-29
San Francisco
60 / 50 / 100%
63 / 54 / 0.00"
3 / 4
1
2026-05-29
San Jose
69 / 49 / 0%
69 / 55 / 0.00"
0 / 6
0
2026-05-29
Dallas
93 / 73 / 0%
92 / 72 / 0.00"
1 / 1
0
2026-05-29
San Antonio
92 / 70 / 0%
89 / 72 / 0.00"
3 / 2
0
2026-05-29
Philidelphia
75 / 53 / 0%
80 / 58 / 0.00"
5 / 5
0
2026-05-29
Los Angeles
66 / 58 / 0%
68 / 59 / 0.00"
2 / 1
0
2026-05-28
Washington
79 / 59 / 100%
82 / 64 / 0.02"
3 / 5
0
2026-05-28
San Francisco
65 / 51 / 100%
67 / 54 / 0.20"
2 / 3
0
2026-05-28
San Jose
68 / 51 / 100%
69 / 55 / 0.14"
1 / 4
0
2026-05-28
Dallas
90 / 70 / 100%
88 / 69 / 0.00"
2 / 1
1
2026-05-28
San Antonio
89 / 69 / 100%
89 / 63 / 0.00"
0 / 6
1
2026-05-28
Philidelphia
76 / 59 / 100%
80 / 62 / 0.00"
4 / 3
1
2026-05-28
Los Angeles
64 / 56 / 0%
68 / 56 / 0.00"
4 / 0
0
2026-05-27
Washington
77 / 64 / 100%
83 / 68 / 0.03"
6 / 4
0
2026-05-27
San Francisco
64 / 51 / 100%
70 / 51 / 0.00"
6 / 0
1
2026-05-27
San Jose
75 / 51 / 100%
75 / 52 / 0.00"
0 / 1
1
2026-05-27
Dallas
82 / 66 / 100%
85 / 67 / 0.02"
3 / 1
0
2026-05-27
San Antonio
87 / 70 / 100%
84 / 63 / 0.00"
3 / 7
1
2026-05-27
Philidelphia
77 / 62 / 100%
82 / 68 / 0.23"
5 / 6
0
2026-05-27
Los Angeles
62 / 57 / 100%
66 / 58 / 0.00"
4 / 1
1
2026-05-26
Washington
68 / 64 / 100%
77 / 63 / 0.10"
9 / 1
0
2026-05-26
San Francisco
60 / 50 / 100%
64 / 53 / 0.00"
4 / 3
1
2026-05-26
San Jose
64 / 47 / 0%
65 / 54 / 0.00"
1 / 7
0
2026-05-26
Dallas
87 / 71 / 100%
88 / 67 / 0.39"
1 / 4
0
2026-05-26
San Antonio
88 / 69 / 100%
85 / 64 / 1.14"
3 / 5
0
2026-05-26
Philidelphia
76 / 63 / 100%
82 / 64 / 0.00"
6 / 1
1
2026-05-26
Los Angeles
65 / 57 / 0%
68 / 58 / 0.00"
3 / 1
0
2026-05-25
Washington
75 / 63 / 100%
75 / 62 / 0.02"
0 / 1
0
2026-05-25
San Francisco
65 / 49 / 0%
66 / 55 / 0.00"
1 / 6
0
2026-05-25
San Jose
80 / 49 / 0%
71 / 57 / 0.00"
9 / 8
0
2026-05-25
Dallas
90 / 70 / 0%
88 / 66 / 0.03"
2 / 4
1
2026-05-25
San Antonio
90 / 70 / 0%
86 / 69 / 0.00"
4 / 1
0
2026-05-25
Philidelphia
69 / 59 / 100%
75 / 58 / 0.05"
6 / 1
0
2026-05-25
Los Angeles
66 / 57 / 0%
69 / 58 / 0.00"
3 / 1
0
2026-05-24
Washington
72 / 56 / 100%
66 / 55 / 0.46"
6 / 1
0
2026-05-24
San Francisco
67 / 49 / 0%
71 / 55 / 0.00"
4 / 6
0
2026-05-24
San Jose
82 / 49 / 0%
74 / 55 / 0.00"
8 / 6
0
2026-05-24
Dallas
88 / 70 / 100%
89 / 68 / 0.10"
1 / 2
0
2026-05-24
San Antonio
88 / 67 / 100%
87 / 66 / 0.00"
1 / 1
1
2026-05-24
Philidelphia
62 / 54 / 100%
63 / 53 / 0.86"
1 / 1
0
2026-05-24
Los Angeles
67 / 58 / 0%
68 / 60 / 0.00"
1 / 2
0
2026-05-23
Washington
56 / 52 / 100%
58 / 52 / 0.26"
2 / 0
0
2026-05-23
San Francisco
69 / 49 / 0%
69 / 54 / 0.00"
0 / 5
0
2026-05-23
San Jose
82 / 49 / 0%
78 / 54 / 0.00"
4 / 5
0
2026-05-23
Dallas
87 / 65 / 100%
84 / 65 / 0.49"
3 / 0
0
2026-05-23
San Antonio
83 / 66 / 100%
85 / 65 / 0.20"
2 / 1
0
2026-05-23
Philidelphia
53 / 50 / 100%
57 / 50 / 0.65"
4 / 0
0
2026-05-23
Los Angeles
66 / 58 / 0%
69 / 60 / 0.00"
3 / 2
0
2026-05-22
Washington
57 / 54 / 100%
60 / 52 / 0.51"
3 / 2
0
2026-05-22
San Francisco
70 / 50 / 0%
69 / 50 / 0.00"
1 / 0
0
2026-05-22
San Jose
87 / 52 / 0%
79 / 51 / 0.00"
8 / 1
0
2026-05-22
Dallas
85 / 66 / 100%
87 / 68 / 0.00"
2 / 2
1
2026-05-22
San Antonio
88 / 68 / 100%
86 / 65 / 0.41"
2 / 3
0
2026-05-22
Philidelphia
59 / 51 / 100%
67 / 55 / 0.01"
8 / 4
0
2026-05-22
Los Angeles
67 / 60 / 0%
68 / 60 / 0.00"
1 / 0
0
2026-05-21
Washington
69 / 56 / 100%
71 / 58 / 0.36"
2 / 2
0
2026-05-21
San Francisco
74 / 51 / 0%
70 / 51 / 0.00"
4 / 0
0
2026-05-21
San Jose
90 / 57 / 0%
85 / 55 / 0.00"
5 / 2
0
2026-05-21
Dallas
72 / 67 / 100%
76 / 68 / 0.02"
4 / 1
0
2026-05-21
San Antonio
82 / 69 / 100%
82 / 66 / 0.57"
0 / 3
0
2026-05-21
Philidelphia
68 / 53 / 100%
69 / 56 / 0.33"
1 / 3
0
2026-05-21
Los Angeles
74 / 63 / 0%
73 / 59 / 0.00"
1 / 4
0
2026-05-20
Washington
96 / 66 / 100%
96 / 71 / 0.15"
0 / 5
0
2026-05-20
San Francisco
73 / 53 / 0%
73 / 53 / 0.00"
0 / 0
0
2026-05-20
San Jose
88 / 56 / 0%
87 / 57 / 0.00"
1 / 1
0
2026-05-20
Dallas
78 / 68 / 100%
82 / 63 / 0.00"
4 / 5
1
2026-05-20
San Antonio
80 / 68 / 100%
84 / 66 / 0.51"
4 / 2
0
2026-05-20
Philidelphia
93 / 65 / 100%
95 / 69 / 0.21"
2 / 4
0
2026-05-20
Los Angeles
74 / 64 / 0%
77 / 60 / 0.00"
3 / 4
0
2026-05-19
Washington
98 / 65 / 0%
97 / 72 / 0.01"
1 / 7
1
2026-05-19
San Francisco
75 / 53 / 0%
82 / 54 / 0.00"
7 / 1
0
2026-05-19
San Jose
85 / 54 / 0%
87 / 53 / 0.00"
2 / 1
0
2026-05-19
Dallas
89 / 68 / 100%
89 / 63 / 0.76"
0 / 5
0
2026-05-19
San Antonio
86 / 72 / 100%
90 / 66 / 0.36"
4 / 6
0
2026-05-19
Philidelphia
93 / 67 / 0%
98 / 71 / 0.04"
5 / 4
1
2026-05-19
Los Angeles
73 / 59 / 0%
75 / 57 / 0.00"
2 / 2
0
2026-05-18
Washington
96 / 63 / 100%
93 / 67 / 0.00"
3 / 4
1
2026-05-18
Seattle
69 / 46 / 0%
66 / 46 / 0.00"
3 / 0
0
2026-05-18
Jacksonville
85 / 71 / 0%
86 / 65 / 0.00"
1 / 6
0
2026-05-18
Denver
49 / 32 / 100%
44 / 36 / 0.31"
5 / 4
0
2026-05-18
Kansas City
84 / 67 / 100%
82 / 61 / 2.65"
2 / 6
0
2026-05-18
San Jose
79 / 57 / 0%
82 / 62 / 0.00"
3 / 5
0
2026-05-18
San Antonio
95 / 74 / 100%
90 / 78 / 0.00"
5 / 4
1
2026-05-17
Washington
78 / 63 / 100%
89 / 64 / 0.00"
11 / 1
1
2026-05-17
Seattle
63 / 45 / 100%
62 / 41 / 0.00"
1 / 4
1
2026-05-17
Jacksonville
87 / 73 / 0%
90 / 75 / 0.00"
3 / 2
0
2026-05-17
Denver
69 / 46 / 100%
68 / 43 / 0.09"
1 / 3
0
2026-05-17
Kansas City
83 / 69 / 100%
84 / 64 / 0.02"
1 / 5
0
2026-05-17
San Jose
71 / 45 / 0%
76 / 51 / 0.00"
5 / 6
0
2026-05-17
San Antonio
93 / 74 / 100%
87 / 74 / 0.00"
6 / 0
1
2026-05-16
Washington
84 / 50 / 0%
85 / 54 / 0.00"
1 / 4
0
2026-05-16
Seattle
55 / 42 / 100%
59 / 44 / 0.08"
4 / 2
0
2026-05-16
Jacksonville
87 / 71 / 0%
88 / 63 / 0.00"
1 / 8
0
2026-05-16
Denver
79 / 50 / 100%
78 / 49 / 0.00"
1 / 1
1
2026-05-16
Kansas City
83 / 65 / 100%
88 / 65 / 0.00"
5 / 0
1
2026-05-16
San Jose
72 / 47 / 0%
72 / 54 / 0.00"
0 / 7
0
2026-05-16
San Antonio
91 / 68 / 0%
89 / 69 / 0.00"
2 / 1
0
2026-05-15
Washington
69 / 51 / 0%
73 / 52 / 0.00"
4 / 1
0
2026-05-15
Seattle
54 / 45 / 100%
51 / 45 / 0.26"
3 / 0
0
2026-05-15
Jacksonville
85 / 63 / 0%
80 / 54 / 0.00"
5 / 9
0
2026-05-15
Denver
79 / 55 / 0%
83 / 49 / 0.00"
4 / 6
0
2026-05-15
Kansas City
84 / 67 / 0%
87 / 63 / 0.00"
3 / 4
0
2026-05-15
San Jose
80 / 49 / 0%
77 / 52 / 0.00"
3 / 3
0
2026-05-15
San Antonio
91 / 66 / 0%
90 / 69 / 0.00"
1 / 3
0
2026-05-14
Washington
58 / 49 / 100%
63 / 52 / 0.00"
5 / 3
1
2026-05-14
Seattle
65 / 48 / 100%
62 / 48 / 0.01"
3 / 0
0
2026-05-14
Jacksonville
91 / 67 / 100%
90 / 61 / 0.00"
1 / 6
1
2026-05-14
Denver
85 / 60 / 100%
86 / 57 / 0.00"
1 / 3
1
2026-05-14
Kansas City
72 / 52 / 100%
78 / 53 / 0.00"
6 / 1
1
2026-05-14
San Jose
84 / 48 / 0%
77 / 51 / 0.00"
7 / 3
0
2026-05-14
San Antonio
91 / 66 / 0%
89 / 67 / 0.00"
2 / 1
0
2026-05-13
Washington
77 / 53 / 100%
77 / 57 / 0.45"
0 / 4
0
2026-05-13
Seattle
60 / 49 / 100%
58 / 51 / 0.13"
2 / 2
0
2026-05-13
Jacksonville
78 / 68 / 100%
83 / 68 / 0.17"
5 / 0
0
2026-05-13
Denver
88 / 56 / 100%
89 / 53 / 0.00"
1 / 3
1
2026-05-13
Kansas City
74 / 52 / 0%
78 / 48 / 0.00"
4 / 4
0
2026-05-13
San Jose
74 / 50 / 0%
71 / 54 / 0.00"
3 / 4
0
2026-05-13
San Antonio
89 / 66 / 0%
88 / 65 / 0.00"
1 / 1
0
2026-05-12
Washington
68 / 44 / 0%
71 / 46 / 0.00"
3 / 2
0
2026-05-12
Seattle
85 / 50 / 0%
82 / 52 / 0.01"
3 / 2
1
2026-05-12
Jacksonville
79 / 70 / 100%
77 / 70 / 1.36"
2 / 0
0
2026-05-12
Denver
76 / 54 / 100%
77 / 48 / 0.00"
1 / 6
1
2026-05-12
Kansas City
80 / 57 / 0%
81 / 57 / 0.00"
1 / 0
0
2026-05-12
San Jose
87 / 56 / 0%
69 / 55 / 0.00"
18 / 1
0
2026-05-12
San Antonio
87 / 66 / 0%
86 / 61 / 0.00"
1 / 5
0
2026-05-11
Washington
70 / 51 / 100%
64 / 49 / 0.18"
6 / 2
0
2026-05-11
Seattle
70 / 51 / 0%
72 / 51 / 0.00"
2 / 0
0
2026-05-11
Jacksonville
91 / 70 / 100%
93 / 68 / 0.00"
2 / 2
1
2026-05-11
Denver
84 / 51 / 0%
85 / 43 / 0.00"
1 / 8
0
2026-05-11
Kansas City
72 / 47 / 0%
79 / 45 / 0.00"
7 / 2
0
2026-05-11
San Jose
92 / 55 / 0%
83 / 53 / 0.00"
9 / 2
0
2026-05-11
San Antonio
84 / 64 / 100%
84 / 65 / 0.06"
0 / 1
0
2026-05-10
Washington
82 / 53 / 100%
82 / 55 / 0.03"
0 / 2
0
2026-05-10
Seattle
73 / 51 / 0%
66 / 48 / 0.00"
7 / 3
0
2026-05-10
Jacksonville
85 / 68 / 100%
84 / 69 / 0.00"
1 / 1
1
2026-05-10
Denver
69 / 44 / 0%
68 / 45 / 0.01"
1 / 1
1
2026-05-10
Kansas City
66 / 51 / 100%
69 / 46 / 0.00"
3 / 5
1
2026-05-10
San Jose
87 / 50 / 0%
73 / 54 / 0.00"
14 / 4
0
2026-05-10
San Antonio
93 / 68 / 100%
89 / 66 / 0.57"
4 / 2
0
2026-05-09
Washington
77 / 50 / 0%
76 / 59 / 0.00"
1 / 9
0
2026-05-09
Seattle
72 / 47 / 0%
69 / 48 / 0.00"
3 / 1
0
2026-05-09
Jacksonville
88 / 69 / 100%
81 / 67 / 0.15"
7 / 2
0
2026-05-09
Denver
76 / 48 / 0%
75 / 47 / 0.00"
1 / 1
0
2026-05-09
Kansas City
79 / 51 / 100%
84 / 48 / 0.00"
5 / 3
1
2026-05-09
San Jose
82 / 49 / 0%
72 / 52 / 0.00"
10 / 3
0
2026-05-09
San Antonio
88 / 66 / 100%
91 / 72 / 0.01"
3 / 6
0
2026-05-08
Washington
70 / 44 / 0%
74 / 48 / 0.00"
4 / 4
0
2026-05-08
Seattle
70 / 51 / 0%
62 / 49 / 0.00"
8 / 2
0
2026-05-08
Jacksonville
85 / 70 / 100%
83 / 68 / 0.31"
2 / 2
0
2026-05-08
Denver
67 / 47 / 0%
68 / 42 / 0.00"
1 / 5
0
2026-05-08
Kansas City
67 / 50 / 0%
64 / 50 / 0.08"
3 / 0
1
2026-05-08
San Jose
77 / 49 / 0%
68 / 54 / 0.00"
9 / 5
0
2026-05-08
San Antonio
80 / 65 / 100%
78 / 62 / 0.00"
2 / 3
1
2026-05-07
Washington
57 / 47 / 100%
63 / 51 / 0.02"
6 / 4
0
2026-05-07
Seattle
69 / 48 / 0%
64 / 50 / 0.00"
5 / 2
0
2026-05-07
Jacksonville
99 / 69 / 100%
89 / 66 / 0.00"
10 / 3
1
2026-05-07
Denver
66 / 33 / 100%
70 / 37 / 0.02"
4 / 4
0
2026-05-07
Kansas City
66 / 42 / 0%
69 / 39 / 0.00"
3 / 3
0
2026-05-07
San Jose
79 / 49 / 0%
70 / 55 / 0.00"
9 / 6
0
2026-05-07
San Antonio
74 / 65 / 100%
71 / 60 / 0.00"
3 / 5
1
2026-05-06
Washington
76 / 55 / 100%
71 / 59 / 0.24"
5 / 4
0
2026-05-06
Seattle
69 / 51 / 0%
57 / 51 / 0.00"
12 / 0
0
2026-05-06
Jacksonville
93 / 66 / 0%
95 / 59 / 0.00"
2 / 7
0
2026-05-06
Denver
33 / 28 / 100%
39 / 30 / 0.16"
6 / 2
0
2026-05-06
Kansas City
58 / 43 / 100%
60 / 44 / 0.00"
2 / 1
1
2026-05-06
San Jose
76 / 49 / 0%
73 / 55 / 0.00"
3 / 6
0
2026-05-06
San Antonio
86 / 73 / 100%
87 / 64 / 0.00"
1 / 9
1
2026-05-05
Washington
84 / 55 / 0%
86 / 61 / 0.00"
2 / 6
0
2026-05-05
Seattle
77 / 52 / 0%
63 / 52 / 0.00"
14 / 0
0
2026-05-05
Jacksonville
81 / 64 / 0%
83 / 54 / 0.00"
2 / 10
0
2026-05-05
Denver
47 / 34 / 100%
46 / 31 / 0.66"
1 / 3
0
2026-05-05
Kansas City
61 / 51 / 100%
60 / 46 / 0.31"
1 / 5
0
2026-05-05
San Jose
59 / 50 / 100%
63 / 54 / 0.00"
4 / 4
1
2026-05-05
San Antonio
92 / 67 / 0%
87 / 70 / 0.00"
5 / 3
0